Sunday, February 10, 2013

The Flat Tax



Question - What are the disadvantages to having a 'flat tax' where the government took a fixed percentage of money any time it changed hands (no tax write offs for charitable contributions, no progressive tax brackets, no luxury/sin taxes, etc.). Congress would have a fixed budget and have a direct incentive to better their respective economies. People would know exactly how much they would owe and no one company could get the upper hand by hidden tax breaks tucked away in obscure bills. - At least this is what the Utopian point of view is. Are there any good examples of economies that have tried this? How have they dealt with national emergencies, paid for a military, unplanned expenses, etc.?

Response - Your questions possess many subjective qualifications. Obviously, there is no objective concept of 'disadvantage' or 'advantage.' What appears to be an advantage to one person may also appear to be a disadvantage to another. For example, the progressive income tax currently in place is viewed by some as 'good' and others as 'bad' for precisely the same reason: that those who earn more pay higher rates than those who earn less. Progressivity is 'advantageous' or 'disadvantageous' depending entirely upon whom one questions - and their views of what the 'best' outcome is.

One cannot even really ask which tax system is most efficient, because it depends upon the goal of that tax system and the structure of the bureaucracy implementing that tax system.

In other words, the starting point matters. So does the ultimate result desired. Each helps define the road taken from the former to the latter.

I could write an essay about the different goals of taxation. Should we care most about overall per capita standard of living? Maximizing overall tax revenues? Only generating as much tax revenue as is 'needed' (requiring the determination of some formal definition of 'necessary')? Who should possess the power to determine how these monies are spent - the bureaucrats, or the people? If the people should possess the power, how should this power be demonstrated and acted upon?

I don't think any of that, however interesting it may be, is necessary to tackle the various characteristics of a 'flat tax.'

So, let us assume we have a flat tax. All income, regardless of label (profit, capital gain, dividend, wage, rent, interest, etc.) is taxed at a fixed rate. There are no loopholes, no tricks, no gimmicks.

Now, this system can exist independent of a balanced budget. So, I'm not going to address budgetary issues.

The first wrinkle that must be addressed is: how do we determine income? Which costs are permitted to be counted against revenues to determine taxable income? We have the same issues, it seems, with a flat tax as we do with progressive taxation. Someone is going to have to determine what is permissible and what isn't when we subtract costs from revenues.

So, what would have to happen is the authors of the legislation to implement a flat tax would have to specify deductions that would apply to married versus single and parents versus childless.

It is possible that, over time, a tendency will arise for a gradual increase in complexity within the tax system. Remember, our current labyrinthine income tax system didn't come about overnight.

The authors would also have to deal with the problem of 'double taxation.' If corporate profits are taxed, and the money left over generates capital gains - and those are also taxed, then spending will be incentivized over investment. There would still have to be a lot of caveats within the legislation to cover as many of these issues as possible in order to avoid as many unintended consequences as possible.

Of course, it's perfectly reasonable to simultaneously have both a progressive and a flat tax. The taxpayer could then select how he wished to calculate his tax liabilities and pay his taxes.

Remember in class, how we talked about the fact that everyone's income is someone else's spending? The reason I'm bringing this up to you is because the main antagonists among those seeking to replace progressive taxation are those advocates for the flat income tax and those advocates for a national consumption (or sales tax). In either scenario transactions are still being taxed, it's just the tax is being funded from the buyer's hand in one situation and the seller's hand in the other. Same money. Different angle.

It's interesting to think about.

As far as nations using a flat tax are concerned, there are actually quite a few. Russia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Ukraine, Serbia, Romania, Slovakia, Georgia, The Channel Islands (Jersey and Guernsey), and Hong Kong (Hong Kong actually has a dual tax system - where you can choose either progressive or flat).

 Economic growth in many of these nations is pretty significant.

Personally, I think simpler is always going to be less costly than complicated. But, there's an entire industry built around the complications of the current tax system that will be extremely resistant to any change (tax accountants and tax attorneys, for example).

Also, remember, income taxation is only one way a government can raise revenues. Import tariffs and bond sales are others. Unplanned for (emergency) expenditures shouldn't prove to be a problem.

This is a subject that can get incredibly complicated and we could probably have an ongoing conversation that could last an entire semester, but I hope this short 'mini-essay' at the very least points you in the right direction cognitively and helps you better understand the topic.

Of course, let me know if you need anything else.

10 comments:

  1. I don't understand why double taxation is a problem . I thought that the reverse, "some one's spending is some one else's earning" helped explain that(taxed when ANY wealth changes owners). A company should not invest because of a tax break, they should invest because it is the most efficient allocation of their profit. They can "spend" it on new copiers or "invest" in the rights to some new idea. Still paying same tax rate. This seems to show also why people would NOT just hoard their wealth and never spend it(not most efficient allocation of a resource that has another use). Is this true?

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  2. When capital gains are taxed, it becomes less attractive to invest precisely because the existence of that tax makes other allocations relatively more efficient for that investor. The only way to guarantee the most efficient allocation of scarce resources is to leave everything completely alone. Of course, in a complicated society, that cannot happen because a framework of law and order needs to exist within which producers and consumers can freely enter into mutually beneficial arrangements. This framework has to be paid for and the easiest way to generate the funds to pay for it is through some form of taxation.

    There's a distinct difference between investing in new copiers (already designed and produced) and investing in research and development of new products that might not reach the market for years. The first involves the purchase of a finished product. The second involves taking a lot of risks before knowing for certain the results will be profitable. Adding a significant tax burden on top of the risks already present may simply make the research and development too unattractive to pursue.

    Also, the hoarding of wealth is a rational response to increased systemic risk. Attempting to make wealth hoarding illegal or practically impossible will not do anything to solve the underlying problems that incentivized the hoarding to begin with.

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  3. That is another thing I don't get. It sounds like you are saying the research would not get done without tax breaks. I listened to a lecture about how a researcher got money from the university to put together a proposal to get money from NASA to research something that might have commercial benefits 15-20 years from now. If you follow the money it all ended up coming from taxes in the end. University money to get the proposal came from various grants, maybe tuition(FAFSA), that all comes from the government. NASA's 'investment' money came from their own budget which comes from congress which all comes back to taxes that came from people possibly in the industry.
    If those in that market were able to keep that money and saw his idea why would they not want to invest even with the flat tax? If they would not invest, wouldn't that just mean they didn't think they would make good returns and in such case he shouldn't receive the money and not do the research because it would be an inefficient allocation of resources? You can always tack on the cost of taxes to the price of the finished product. As Milton Friedman explained, you don't spend other people's money on someone else the same way you spend your own money on yourself.

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  4. An absence of taxation is not synonymous with the term 'tax break.'

    There is a marked difference between manipulating tax codes to incentivize 'productive' behavior or disincentivize that behavior and simply permitting behavior to exist or not without government tax interference.

    I'm not saying taxpayers need to subsidize research. I'm saying the government should think very hard about unintended consequences before making investment riskier and more expensive than it naturally is.

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  5. It sounds like you are saying it is important to manipulate the tax codes in these situations as to incentivize research. And by not taxing a transfer of wealth it would seem the government is, in a way, subsidizing the research.

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  6. Let's say a hotel company wants to build a luxury hotel in your city. But, they tell the city council they will only do so if particular formalities are waived - including specific tax requirements. So, instead of this hotel having to pay all of the same taxes other hotels had to pay and follow all of the same protocols other hotels had to, they get specific favors.

    This is incentivizing investment through tax code manipulation.

    Are you saying you see no fundamental difference between the example above and simply not taxing any particular business whatsoever in one particular area or another?

    Because, I see a difference.

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  7. I do. But it seems like a Pandora's Box situation. While in a few situations it may be good, it would be too easy for some company to lobby for a tax code manipulation and get an upper leg on say an already established research with private funding.

    You talked about governments creating uncertainty being bad for the economy. One administration may decide to waive taxes on research in solar energy while the next decides not to. It seems the only way to get rid of this uncertainty is to deal in absolutes. Anytime wealth moves. Bam. Tax it. No?

    (I don't mean to frustrate you. I do want to learn. I want to have a good understanding of this because I'm slowly starting to realize most of the funding in my desired field is going to come from government funding. On a lighter note, as proof I have learned something from your class I just read "brouhaha" in an autobiography and knew what it meant.)

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  8. Lobbying for a tax code manipulation is entirely different from one activity or another being completely untaxed no matter who the party is.

    You say you understand the difference but then you immediately follow that up with a statement that communicates that, in fact, you do not.

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  9. Okay. I don't. From what I gather, you seem to think not taxing things like cancer research are better than not taxing luxury hotels and some investments deserve the tax code manipulation more than others. Who would decide what denotes an investment that does not get taxed? Some government body. One government body could say we really need investments here to be untaxed while during the next meeting the group could say no tax that investment. Creating a government that is inconsistent. If people really do value the research so much, they will pay anything for the cure and potential investors don't need any incentive to fund it because the returns would be so great. So no, I don't see a huge difference between taxing luxury hotels and taxing cancer research. People place value with their spending. If they aren't willing to spend money for some new medicine but the luxury hotel business is booming, maybe that's where the money should be going. There are only a few rare diseases that may not get funded due to this return on investment, but there seem to be a lot of philanthropists that would line up far to be the ones to fund the research that found a cure. Would paying the same taxes they pay on everything else stop them? No, I don't think so.

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  10. If I'm saying that investment would be better off left untaxed (or, if it simply must be taxed, that it be taxed at as low a rate as possible), how is it you seem to assume I'm saying that some investment should be taxed but other investment shouldn't?

    If investment is not taxed, no government body would have to determine what investment gets taxed and what doesn't. Because it isn't taxed at all (or, if it is taxed, all investment is taxed at a consistently flat rate as mentioned in your original question).

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